On December 31, as per a report from the U.S. automotive news outlet Electrek, as 2025 nears its end, several of Elon Musk's ambitious forecasts for Tesla have not come to fruition. Musk had painted 2025 as a pivotal year for Tesla, marked by significant expansion, widespread acceptance of autonomous driving technology, and the introduction of humanoid robots. Nevertheless, none of these projections have panned out.

Specifically, Musk had projected that Tesla's electric vehicle deliveries would experience a 20% to 30% increase in 2025. In reality, deliveries reached roughly 1.64 million units, representing another year-on-year decrease and sharply contrasting with the global electric vehicle market's 25% surge in sales during the same period.

In the realm of autonomous driving, Musk had asserted that Tesla's autonomous ride-hailing service, Robotaxi, could reach half of the U.S. population by the end of 2025 and have over 1 million Robotaxis in active service. However, the current state of affairs reveals that Tesla's Robotaxi fleet in Austin comprises merely around 30 vehicles, the majority of which are frequently out of commission and still necessitate the presence of safety operators.

Moreover, Musk's highly anticipated "most spectacular demonstration event in history" for the new Roadster model did not occur as planned and has been rescheduled to April 2026. The mass production timeline for the Tesla Semi electric truck has also suffered another setback, being pushed back from 2025 to 2026.

As for humanoid robots, Musk had envisioned having "thousands" of Optimus robots operational at Tesla's factories by the end of 2025, with a production goal ranging from 5,000 to 10,000 units. Yet, there is presently no indication that Tesla manufactured hundreds of Optimus robots in 2025. The latest iteration of the robot has yet to make a formal appearance, being limited to performing simple tasks such as distributing water bottles and relying on remote control technology with modest success rates.