CITIC Construction Investment: Amidst the 'Convergence of Three Phases,' the Market Anticipates a Pivotal Moment
2025-11-24 / Read about 0 minute
Author:小编   

According to a research report from CITIC Construction Investment, the present market landscape is marked by what can be described as the 'convergence of three phases': the phase of consolidation amidst a bull market, a crucial juncture for validating economic outlooks, and a policy hiatus concerning performance. Market fluctuations, sectoral shifts, and end-of-year profit-taking maneuvers by funds have collectively heightened market volatility. Lately, there's been a surge in external disruptions. The recurring (rather than "repeatedly (repeated)") anticipation of a Federal Reserve interest rate reduction in December has sparked volatility in global market liquidity expectations. Despite NVIDIA's earnings report surpassing forecasts, the sharp fluctuation in its stock price has stirred investor apprehensions regarding the longevity of AI expenditure, with these sentiments reverberating through to the A-share market. In the grand scheme, the fundamental premise of a gradual bull market remains intact. For short-term tactics, it's prudent to capitalize on positioning opportunities (the phrase "seize opportunities for layout (positioning)" is a bit redundant and awkward in English; "capitalize on positioning opportunities" is more concise and idiomatic). Attention should be directed towards the outcomes of the Federal Reserve's interest rate-setting meeting in early to mid-December and the Central Economic Work Conference. Should the market undergo a substantial correction, it may be wise to consider augmenting positions and amassing shares. Monitoring the support thresholds of the 60-day and semi-annual moving averages, along with observing market volume contractions, is crucial. As for industry focus, sectors such as banking, petroleum and petrochemicals, steel, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, lithium batteries, and new materials are recommended for attention.