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On September 11, according to Business Insider, "AI godfather" Geoffrey Hinton stated in an interview with BBC's "Newsnight" that it is difficult to precisely estimate the probability of AI exterminating humanity, but a 10% probability seems like a reasonable estimate, while emphasizing that no one can provide an absolutely accurate prediction. This judgment is basically consistent with the view of Jacob Coxon, a top AI safety researcher at Anthropic, who previously stated that "there is a more than 10% probability that AI will kill all of humanity within the next 10 years." Hinton also revealed that his expectations for the timeline of an AI disaster have undergone a fundamental shift, believing that the window for a potential disaster has narrowed to 10 years or even less.
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